Turnout Is High In Democratic Areas As Virginia Is On Track To Break Gubernatorial Record

So far, turnout has not fallen disconnected successful the Democratic areas of Virginia arsenic the authorities is connected gait to interruption its gubernatorial turnout record.

Democratic Turnout Has Not Fallen Off In Virginia (So Far)

Dave Wasserman of The Cook Political Report tweeted:

Based connected section turnout reports, VA is connected way to interruption 3 cardinal votes, which would surpass gubernatorial grounds of 2.6M acceptable successful 2017.

Not wide which broadside that benefits, but this isn't a script successful which turnout successful bluish areas is falling done the floor. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2021

Every study I’ve seen has turnout precocious successful Dem territories. Fairfax astatine 50% turnout which is 1/8 of states colonisation and a Democratic stronghold.

— Enough (@ehartman1975) November 2, 2021

The Media’s Theory Of The Virginia Election May Not Be True

The media’s moving mentation of this predetermination was that Biden’s lowered support standing combined with Republican enthusiasm would mean that Democrats enactment location portion Republicans amusement up to vote, and Youngkin wins.

High turnout successful Democratic areas of the authorities is atrocious for Glenn Youngkin. The Republicans request debased Democratic turnout, particularly successful the bluish portion of the authorities to person a accidental to propulsion retired a adjacent win.

Being that determination are much Democrats than Republicans successful Virginia, it is logical to presume that breaking a turnout grounds volition payment Democrats, but it is mode excessively soon to gully immoderate conclusions.

It is imaginable that Youngkin could triumph a precocious turnout election, but that wasn’t the script that his run was hoping for.

Democrats whitethorn beryllium getting their voters out, and if Democrats showed up to immoderate tenable degree, Terry McAuliffe’s likelihood of winning are lone helped.