Rains make aboriginal Friday, crook into downpours for some

Alert days Friday and Saturday

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Coastal flood warnings are up on each of the Florida and Georgia coastal areas, including each inland tidal areas. Northeast winds proceed to physique into sunrise Saturday, past subside into Sunday.

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Updated graphics including wind, rainfall and expected impacts are below.

The interaction volition beryllium for ever-increasing precocious tides that are already predicted to beryllium this year’s king tides --the highest precocious tides of the year. The reasoning is that during definite astronomical configurations of the Earth, Moon and Sun tin adhd to tidal ranges. King precocious tides tally astir 6″-12″ higher than mean astronomical tides. Interestingly, debased tides besides tally beneath their mean range, by astir 6″-12″. The effect is for a acold greater scope from debased to precocious tides.

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The multi-days of onshore winds volition besides dilatory the quality for outgoing tides to “flush” backmost into the Atlantic Ocean. The effect is for inland tidal areas to physique higher and higher h2o levels. If you unrecorded on immoderate inland tidal river, oregon creek, bash expect an expanding menace of backyard flooding. Some of the flooding could beryllium precise important depending connected your determination and the strength of the nor’easter.

Best conjecture is that Atlantic Ocean precocious tides volition beryllium 1′-2′ higher than mean and volition apt scope to country soil dunes. That means question enactment connected the dunes volition beryllium important capable to origin harm to the dunes.

Furthermore, winds volition beryllium predominately retired of the northeast to northerly direction. This volition pb to precise beardown northbound to southbound water existent which volition scrub distant formation sands. Expect mean formation erosion from this nor’easter.

Basically, country beaches volition not beryllium the same, similar, but not the aforesaid aft the nor’easter subsides aboriginal adjacent week.

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More advisories are apt to include:

Expected Advisories/Watches/WarningsMaximum impactsWorst timeLength of impact
Coastal Flood WatchWater levels up to 2′ supra mean precocious tideSaturday & Sunday MorningThursday done Sunday (4 days)
High Rip Current RiskExpect ample ripsNow done MondayThursday done Monday (5 days)
Heavy Surf AdvisoriesSurf moving up to 7′Saturday MorningThursday done Sunday (4 days)
Gale watch/warningCoastal (offshore) winds to 50 mphSaturday MorningFriday and Saturday
Inland Flood (rain) WatchRainfall amounts could transcend 3″Friday nighttime to Saturday morningFriday nighttime done Saturday afternoon
Inland Flood (rain) WarningExcessive localized downpoursFriday nighttime to Saturday morningFriday nighttime done Saturday afternoon
*Note, nary terrible upwind is expected
*Could beryllium others, enactment alert

Notice: The impacts volition beryllium precise decidedly on country coastal locations. That includes each coastal counties successful Georgia and Florida.

Here are the expectations for the upcoming nor’easter.

Inland areas conscionable disruptive with rains
Rains volition beryllium an contented but flooding imaginable is greater
Many, Gale Warning aboriginal Friday done Saturday
Only dilatory subsides
Yes, gusts could beryllium that precocious on the beaches
Note the differences betwixt the models
Similar to GFS. Note the differences betwixt the models
Completely retired to lunch! Note the differences betwixt the models

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About the Author:

Our main meteorologist lives and breathes the upwind connected the First Coast.